Work in Progress
Colonial Wars and Modern Nationalism: Evidence from Fascist Italy's Campaigns in East Africa
with Matteo Broso
European empires dominated entire continents for centuries. Yet, the literature on colonial legacies has largely focused on the long-term effects of colonialism in former colonies, overlooking its consequences for the former colonial powers themselves. We study the effect of Fascist Italy’s colonial campaigns in East Africa in the 1930s on contemporary political outcomes. Using data on the surnames of all Italian soldiers buried in Eritrea and Ethiopia, and the contemporary distribution of surnames across Italy, we construct an index of exposure to colonial wars at the municipality level. We show that municipalities more exposed to 1930s colonial wars are more likely to support far-right parties today. To address endogeneity concerns, we adopt an Instrumental Variable (IV) approach. Our IV exploits the historical geographical distribution of mountain troops, which were disproportionately deployed in East Africa because of Ethiopia's mountainous territory. The instrument is unrelated to pre-1930 electoral outcomes. The IV estimates confirm a causal interpretation for our results. Moreover, we show that the observed effects are stronger in municipalities with more African immigrants.
Natural Resource Discoveries and Structural Transformation: Evidence from Senegal
8% of the global population depends on fisheries for their living, especially in developing countries. I study the impact of the first offshore oil and gas discoveries in Senegal on the fisheries sector. Leveraging the plausibly exogenous timing and location of the discoveries as a natural experiment, I employ a difference-in-differences approach, comparing fishing municipalities close to the discovery sites to fishing areas farther away. The results show a sharp decline in artisanal fishing, offset by growth in industrial fishing. I argue that this shift is driven by a reduction in fish stocks and physical access to fishing grounds in coastal waters, highlighting a case of involuntary structural transformation from artisanal fisheries to industrial activities. At the same time, I find that treated areas experience significant increases in employment rates.
Pre-Doctoral Publications
Impact Evaluation in Humanitarian Contexts: The Joint Resilience Program in Somalia
with Ana Paula De la O Campos, Benjamin Davis, and Marco D’Errico
Journal of Development Studies, forthcoming
with Tilman Brück, Wolfgang Stojetz, Piero Ronzani, and Marco D’Errico
Conditionally Accepted at Journal of African Economies
Shocking Social Safety Nets: Evidence from Violence and Drought in North-East Nigeria
with Tilman Brück, Wolfgang Stojetz, Piero Ronzani, and Marco D’Errico
Food Policy, 2026
Drivers and Stressors of Resilience to Food Insecurity: Evidence from 35 Countries
with Ellestina Jumbe, Hong Anh Luu and Marco d'Errico
Food Security, 2023
Background paper for The State of Food and Agriculture 2021 (FAO)
Spring 2025, University of Turin, Lecturer
Quantitative Methods (Masters) – Causal Inference with Stata
Fall 2024, University of Turin, Teaching Assistant
Development Economics (Masters) – Growth, Development and Impact Evaluation